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The Nightly Newsletter

 

 Long Term Trading Parameters
   

For June 11 , 2010

(Provided to you in advance of the Trading Session)

Summary: Longer term support is still being threatened.


Longer Term Chart Analysis for the NASDAQ

Our combined longer term analysis tells us that the Market is threatening to break longer term neutral support.  This, when combined with the reversal confirmation we pinpointed in late April, suggests that aggressive breaks are likely at some point.  Treat support as inflection, recognize that some markets have started to break below longer term neutral support already, and prepare for additional declines at some point as a result.  A slight bounce back is not uncommon, but the breach that is obvious from some of the Markets we follow suggests that an eventual turn lower should come.  This sets the stage for our longer term plans.


Special reports:

1.  April 2010 - The Reversal Confirmation

http://www.stocktradersdaily.com/may.htm

2.  Game Plan

http://www.stocktradersdaily.com/short conversion2.pdf

3.  2010 - The Year of the increase:

http://www.stocktradersdaily.com/reports/2010.pdf


Dow parameters for Strategic Plan:

Please review the Strategic Plan page for details.

Investment Rate: 

We are long term Bears.  We expect a GREATER DEPRESSION in the next 5 - 10 years.  The Investment Rate explains why.  Find the link in the Main Menu of our Members Area.


Initial long term trading parameters for the NASDAQ exist between 2141 - 2537
If 2141 breaks lower expect 1265
If 2537 breaks higher expect 2809
Otherwise expect 2141 - 2537 to hold

These Parameters are telling us to trade the Market as follows...

RESISTANCE PLANS: 

  • If 2537 is tested first, these charts tell us to short with a downside target of 2141.

  •  However, if 2537 breaks higher these same Parameters are telling us to expect 2809

SUPPORT PLANS: 

  • But, if 2141 is tested , these same Parameters tell us to buy the Market with a target of 2537.

  • However, if 2141 breaks lower, these same Parameters are telling us to expect 1265


IMPORTANT: The rules of trading say that a test of support or resistance Parameters occur in the NASDAQ when the NASDAQ comes within 3 points of our trading Parameter (15 points for the DOW and 1.5 points for the S&P). When, for example, the Market comes within 3 points of a support level, and, according to rule, we look for a long position, we would refer to the Focus List at that exact time to find which stocks are best to trade. In order to work efficiently for Market-timing purposes, we must look for trading ideas at the exact time the Market offers us trading signals.

 
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